Mizuho Economic Outlook & Analysis Back Number(2016)

Mizuho Economic Outlook & Analysis provides Outlooks on the Japanese economy every quarter and in-depth analyses on economic issues on a timely basis.

• 2017 Economic Outlook for Major Emerging Market Economies (December 20, 2016)(PDF/483KB)
  Dec 22, 2016
• FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -Considering the coming Trump administration's policy agenda, forecasts have been revised upward mainly on the US economy- REVISED to reflect the 2nd QE for the Jul-Sep Qtr of 2016 (December 8, 2016)(PDF/311KB)
  Dec 20, 2016
• Rise in the population not in the labour force is prominent among men -Measures for people who do not prioritize employment are necessary- (October 12, 2016)(PDF/254KB)
  Dec 12, 2016
• FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -The global economy will gradually pick up. Will Trump change the world?- (December 2016)(PDF/123KB)
  Dec 7, 2016
• FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -The global economy will gradually pick up. Will Trump change the world?- [Summary] (November 15, 2016)(PDF/131KB)
  Nov 16, 2016
• Rising private debt in the emerging market countries -may weigh on the recovery of private demand and restrain the implementation of economic stimulus measures- (September 29, 2016)(PDF/160KB)
  Nov 14, 2016
• Issues left unresolved in the BOJ's "Comprehensive Assessment" -Monetary policy has limits in overcoming the malfunction of the monetary transmission mechanism- (October 3, 2016)(PDF/160KB)
  Nov 9, 2016
• Upcoming agricultural policies in the autumn of 2016 -The key agendas are further promotion of feed rice production and the introduction of income insurance system- (October 31, 2016)(PDF/119KB)
  Oct 31, 2016
• What are the factors behind China's sharp investment slowdown? -The rise of uncertainty over economic policy may have affected investment in China- (September 2, 2016)(PDF/225KB)
  Oct 24, 2016
• FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -"New normal" under prolonged 3Ls (Low growth, Low inflation, Low interest rates), swirling uncertainties in the world- (August 16, 2016)(PDF/758KB)
  Oct 4, 2016
• The BOJ’s Comprehensive Assessment will be a de facto game changer of its monetary policy framework -"Five Proposals" for the extension of monetary easing toward the year 2020- (September 8, 2016)(PDF/303KB)
  Sep 15, 2016
• FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -The Japanese economy will continue to follow a public demand-dependent recovery (no material chgange from our outlook released in August)- REVISED to reflect the 2nd QE for the Apr-Jun Qtr of 2016 (September 8, 2016)(PDF/139KB)
  Sep 12, 2016
• Brexit and its impact on the global economy (August 31, 2016)(PDF/332KB)
  Sep 8, 2016
• FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -The global economy faces mounting uncertainties- (September 2016)(PDF/123KB)
  Sep 5, 2016
• Commitment to 2% price stability target to be tested with BOJ "September Comprehensive Assessment" (August 12, 2016)(PDF/94KB)
  Aug 29, 2016
• FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -"New normal" under prolonged 3Ls (Low growth, Low inflation, Low interest rates), swirling uncertainties in the world- [Summary] (August 16, 2016)(PDF/131KB)
  Aug 17, 2016
• Policy issues facing the Abe administration after the Upper House election -The ruling coalition has secured a stable policy foundation- (July 27, 2016)(PDF/225KB)
  Aug 15, 2016
• Background of the slowdown in inbound tourism consumption per person and its future outlook (June 23, 2016)(PDF/188KB)
  Aug 8, 2016
• How should we view the fall of real estate prices in Hong Kong and Singapore? (June 2, 2016)(PDF/324KB)
  Jul 19, 2016
• The impact of the fall of interest rates upon retirement benefit obligations of Japanese corporate enterprises -While the impact on a macro basis will likely be minimal, some corporations may suffer an unexpected blow- (May 2, 2016)(PDF/254KB)
  Jul 11, 2016
• FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -Amid persisting concerns of a global economic downturn, fiscal stimulus will underpin the economy- (May 20, 2016)(PDF/586KB)
  Jun 28, 2016
• Challenges for Japanese companies to grow in the expanding "global technology frontier" (May 10, 2016)(PDF/496KB)
  Jun 21, 2016
• FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -Even though the postponement of the consumption tax hike has eased uncertainties, the slowdown of the overseas economies will serve as a drag upon the Japanese economy- REVISED to reflect the 2nd QE for the Jan-Mar Qtr of 2016 (June 8, 2016)(PDF/160KB)
  Jun 14, 2016
• FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -Amid persisting concerns of a global economic downturn, fiscal stimulus will underpin the economy- (June 2016)(PDF/123KB)
  Jun 6, 2016
• Japan's population has started to shrink and polarize geographically -The census reveals the concentration of people in large cities and city centers- (April 5, 2016)(PDF/266KB)
  May 30, 2016
• Equilibrium real interest rates in the US are negative 2% -Estimates based on the modified LW model and its implications- (April 4, 2016)(PDF/336KB)
  May 25, 2016
• FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -Amid persisting concerns of a global economic downturn, fiscal stimulus will underpin the economy- [Summary] (May 20, 2016)(PDF/131KB)
  May 24, 2016
• The 16th Questionnaire Survey of Japanese Corporate Enterprises Regarding Business in Asia (February 2016)(PDF/377KB)
  May 17, 2016
• The depreciation of the renminbi may have a negative impact on the Asian economies (February 12, 2016)(PDF/332KB)
  Apr 25, 2016
• Determining factors of inbound travel to Japan -A stronger yen matters more for the NIEs than China- (February 19, 2016)(PDF/344KB)
  Apr 11, 2016
• Inbound tourism props up Japan's employment growth -"Employment generation" of approximately 270,000 jobs expected- (February 17, 2016)(PDF/123KB)
  Mar 22, 2016
• FY2015, FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -Note the risk of the EM slowdown setting off a global contagion- (February 16, 2016)(PDF/745KB)
  Mar 17, 2016
• FY2015, FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -The Japanese economy is forecast to remain in a soft patch in the Jan-Mar quarter of 2016- REVISED to reflect the 2nd QE for the Oct-Dec Qtr of 2015 (March 8, 2016)(PDF/143KB)
  Mar 11, 2016
• Factors behind Japan's sluggish capital investment growth -Capital investment targets have shifted to areas not yet captured by current GDP statistics- (January 22, 2016)(PDF/418KB)
  Mar 8, 2016
• Note the risk of the EM slowdown setting off a global contagion -Even though the Japanese economy avoided a recession, its pace of recovery will be slow- (March 2016)(PDF/143KB)
  Mar 8, 2016
• Quality is the key to the future of Japan's exports -amid China's rising presence in the capital goods markets of the US and the EU- (January 8, 2016)(PDF/238KB)
  Feb 18, 2016
• FY2015, FY2016, FY2017 Economic Outlook -Note the risk of the EM slowdown setting off a global contagion- [Summary] (February 16, 2016)(PDF/131KB)
  Feb 18, 2016
• The supplementary budget should push up GDP growth by 0.3% -Method to allocate welfare benefits to low-income pensioners remains an issue- (January 12, 2016)(PDF/274KB)
  Feb 9, 2016
• Durable goods hamper personal consumption growth -A full-scale stock adjustment has been triggered by the front-loading of future demand- (January 5, 2016)(PDF/332KB)
  Jan 29, 2016
• The Risks of the Materialization of Concerns over the EM Economies -keep a close eye upon the "Risky Four"- (December 2, 2015)(PDF/340KB)
  Jan 21, 2016

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